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V-Lab

Raoom Trading Company Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Sunday, July 12th, 2026

1 Day

4,487.52

decreased by 1,463.22

1 Week

4,439.79

decreased by 1,510.95

1 Month

5,213.25

decreased by 737.49

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Raoom Trading Company ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 22, 2022 to Jul 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2103
2.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3268
5.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5065
5.58***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-3.3221
-0.44
γ2-2.3697
-0.22
γ36.7742
0.83
γ4-16.0048
-1.73*
γ541.5351
4.99***
γ6-54.6116
-7.22***
γ746.3695
6.48***
γ8-21.7394
-3.40***
γ90.4560
0.07
γ106.2123
0.81

Persistence:

0.833

Half-life:

4 days