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V-Lab

Cairo Pharmaceuticals & Chemical Industries Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Sunday, July 12th, 2026

1 Day

4,222.40

increased by 703.85

1 Week

4,044.25

increased by 525.70

1 Month

3,895.50

increased by 376.95

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cairo Pharmaceuticals & Chemical Industries ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 24, 1998 to Jul 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 23 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9145
1.56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0931
6.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8772
53.78***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.4603
-0.96
γ20.7965
1.22
γ3-0.6035
-1.97**
γ40.2315
1.00
γ50.4424
2.53**
γ6-0.6901
-4.45***
γ70.2666
1.20
γ8-0.1369
-0.47
γ90.5208
1.74*
γ10-1.0373
-3.00***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days