V-Lab
Amedeo Air Four Plus Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Thursday, June 25th, 2026):
1 Day
22,778.94
1 Week
24,106.50
1 Month
13,283.02
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 25, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2015 to Jun 19, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 234 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4729 | 1.80* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1476 | 3.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8494 | 20.99*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 1.3699 | 0.58 |
| γ2 | -2.5694 | -0.67 |
| γ3 | 2.5284 | 1.13 |
| γ4 | -2.1692 | -1.45 |
| γ5 | 3.8803 | 1.37 |
| γ6 | -11.7715 | -2.12** |
| γ7 | 18.0294 | 2.49** |
| γ8 | -13.9990 | -2.55** |
| γ9 | 6.9268 | 2.63*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
234 days
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