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International Carbide Technology Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

5,752.42

decreased by 743.04

1 Week

6,281.85

decreased by 213.61

1 Month

5,367.60

decreased by 1,127.86

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of International Carbide Technology Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2014 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 66 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.1606
2.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2267
6.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7628
16.39***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.9788
-0.19
γ2-10.7100
-0.80
γ330.7089
1.62
γ4-27.4981
-1.79*
γ59.1326
1.76*
γ6-1.7696
-0.78
γ71.7416
0.86
γ8-0.2531
-0.17
γ9-0.1891
-0.14
γ10-1.6578
-0.78

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

66 days