Skip to main content
V-Lab

Hanking Gold International Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

6,868.72

decreased by 686.71

1 Week

7,073.54

decreased by 481.89

1 Month

5,391.40

decreased by 2,164.03

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hanking Gold International Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 2011 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 57762 trading days (~229.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3733
0.04
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2076
0.02
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7924
0.08
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-5.7972
-0.03
γ25.4698
0.03
γ32.7986
0.93
γ4-4.0256
-0.10
γ52.9800
0.04
γ6-8.1346
-0.03
γ78.1274
0.71
γ813.8159
0.01
γ9-29.4002
-0.02
γ1019.0929
0.02

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

57762 days