V-Lab
Wimi Hologram Cloud Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
61.55%
1 Week
69.24%
1 Month
81.43%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 41% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2953 | 13.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5145 | 21.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0859 | -2.72*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.8566 | 1.41 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1103 | 1.61 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8488 | 8.95*** |
Persistence:
0.767
Half-life:
3 days
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