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V-Lab

Viking Therapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

62.19%

increased by 0.13%

1 Week

69.25%

increased by 7.19%

1 Month

72.03%

increased by 9.97%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Viking Therapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 29, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 370% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3561
6.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0483
2.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2804
-4.65***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

7.3267
0.14
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3304
0.19
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4129
0.11

Persistence:

0.264

Half-life:

1 days