V-Lab
Viking Therapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
62.19%
1 Week
69.25%
1 Month
72.03%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 29, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 370% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3561 | 6.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0483 | 2.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2804 | -4.65*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.3267 | 0.14 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3304 | 0.19 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4129 | 0.11 |
Persistence:
0.264
Half-life:
1 days
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