V-Lab
Uber Technologies, Inc. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
40.28%
increased by 2.13%
1 Week
41.35%
increased by 3.20%
1 Month
42.68%
increased by 4.53%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 10, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0112 | 2.18** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6757 | 30.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1131 | 9.78*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.8645 | 0.42 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6234 | 0.47 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.744
Half-life:
2 days
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