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V-Lab

Uber Technologies, Inc. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

40.28%

increased by 2.13%

1 Week

41.35%

increased by 3.20%

1 Month

42.68%

increased by 4.53%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Uber Technologies, Inc. MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0112
2.18**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6757
30.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1131
9.78***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.8645
0.42
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6234
0.47
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.744

Half-life:

2 days