V-Lab
Patria Top Offices Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - Responsabilidade Limitada GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
18.43%
increased by 0.19%
1 Week
18.48%
increased by 0.24%
1 Month
18.67%
increased by 0.43%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 7, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 26-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0395 | 1.17 |
| αARCH | 0.0925 | 0.83 |
| βGARCH | 0.8930 | 17.94*** |
| γleverage | -0.0234 | -0.12 |
0.974
Persistence26d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0395 | 1.17 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0925 | 0.83 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8930 | 17.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0234 | -0.12 |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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