V-Lab
Patria Top Offices Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - Responsabilidade Limitada MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
13.66%
decreased by 2.15%
1 Week
14.73%
decreased by 1.08%
1 Month
17.75%
increased by 1.94%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 7, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0858 | 1.28 |
| αARCH | 0.3370 | 3.96*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6307 | 9.07*** |
0.968
Persistence21d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0858 | 1.28 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3370 | 3.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6307 | 9.07*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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