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V-Lab

FII Vida Nova MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

104.87%

increased by 28.91%

1 Week

113.78%

increased by 37.82%

1 Month

140.06%

increased by 64.10%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FII Vida Nova MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2016 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.19
αARCH0.4365
3.45***
βGARCH0.5397
9.52***

0.976

Persistence

29d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.19
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4365
3.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5397
9.52***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days