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FII Vida Nova AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

60.36%

decreased by 1.18%

1 Week

71.36%

increased by 9.82%

1 Month

80.37%

increased by 18.83%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FII Vida Nova AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 4, 2015 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst7.9195
3.46***
αARCH0.2953
4.06***
βGARCH0.4204
9.32***
γleverage-0.1483
-0.16

0.716

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.9195
3.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2953
4.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4204
9.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1483
-0.16

Persistence:

0.716

Half-life:

2 days