Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

15.20%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

15.80%

increased by 0.16%

1 Month

17.90%

increased by 2.26%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 21, 2004 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 75 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~75 daysAsymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0166
1.17
αARCH0.0675
7.76***
βGARCH0.9233
112.29***
γleverage0.6601
4.50***

0.991

Persistence

75d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0166
1.17
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0675
7.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9233
112.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.6601
4.50***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

75 days