V-Lab
Hedge Recebiveis FII AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
18.14%
increased by 1.79%
1 Week
18.23%
increased by 1.88%
1 Month
18.31%
increased by 1.96%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3577 | 2.07** |
| αARCH | 0.2027 | 3.85*** |
| βGARCH | 0.5261 | 4.62*** |
| γleverage | 0.1518 | 0.51 |
0.729
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3577 | 2.07** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2027 | 3.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5261 | 4.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1518 | 0.51 |
Persistence:
0.729
Half-life:
2 days
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