V-Lab
Hedge Recebiveis FII APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
22.70%
1 Week
21.88%
1 Month
20.79%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. The volatility power δ = 1.15 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2636 | 2.53** |
| αARCH | 0.2109 | 3.63*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6287 | 7.20*** |
| γleverage | -0.2180 | -1.20 |
| δpower | 1.1458 | 2.33** |
0.800
Persistence3d
Half-lifeAPARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2636 | 2.53** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2109 | 3.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6287 | 7.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2180 | -1.20 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.1458 | 2.33** |
Persistence:
0.800
Half-life:
3 days
Other Hedge Recebiveis FII Analyses
Other APARCH Analyses on Real Estate