V-Lab
Hedge Recebiveis FII GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
19.23%
increased by 2.14%
1 Week
18.85%
increased by 1.76%
1 Month
18.47%
increased by 1.38%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3555 | 2.08** |
| αARCH | 0.1938 | 3.60*** |
| βGARCH | 0.5386 | 5.51*** |
0.732
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3555 | 2.08** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1938 | 3.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5386 | 5.51*** |
Persistence:
0.732
Half-life:
2 days
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