Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Rio Bravo Multiestrategia Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario de Responsabilidade GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

18.32%

decreased by 0.92%

1 Week

19.00%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Month

21.38%

increased by 2.14%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Rio Bravo Multiestrategia Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario de Responsabilidade GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 3, 2013 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 79 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~79 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0627
2.91***
αARCH0.1283
3.88***
βGARCH0.8629
29.85***

0.991

Persistence

79d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0627
2.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1283
3.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8629
29.85***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

79 days