V-Lab
SJ Au Logistica FII GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
134.48%
increased by 5.58%
1 Week
137.61%
increased by 8.71%
1 Month
146.63%
increased by 17.73%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 11, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.54 |
| αARCH | 0.0551 | 1.34 |
| βGARCH | 0.8999 | 20.34*** |
0.955
Persistence15d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.54 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0551 | 1.34 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8999 | 20.34*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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