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SJ Au Logistica FII Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

104.71%

increased by 3.69%

1 Week

102.87%

increased by 1.85%

1 Month

100.80%

decreased by 0.22%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of SJ Au Logistica FII S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 11, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.0817
4.62***
αARCH0.0344
0.64
βGARCH0.7225
1.43
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ111.9192
6.26***
γ2-18.3245
-5.90***
γ38.6195
4.37***

0.757

Persistence

2d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0817
4.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0344
0.64
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7225
1.43
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ111.9192
6.26***
γ2-18.3245
-5.90***
γ38.6195
4.37***

Persistence:

0.757

Half-life:

2 days