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Dream Office Real Estate Investment Trust Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

28.03%

decreased by 1.34%

1 Week

32.15%

increased by 2.78%

1 Month

39.37%

increased by 10.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dream Office Real Estate Investment Trust S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 1995 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.1215
6.38***
αARCH0.2423
8.78***
βGARCH0.6487
21.04***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.1070
1.67*
γ2-0.1833
-1.70*
γ30.1555
1.37
γ4-0.0050
-0.04
γ5-0.2608
-2.59***
γ60.4284
4.80***
γ7-0.4263
-4.10***
γ80.3204
3.62***
γ9-0.1874
-2.83***
γ100.0343
0.83

0.891

Persistence

6d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.1215
6.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2423
8.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6487
21.04***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.1070
1.67*
γ2-0.1833
-1.70*
γ30.1555
1.37
γ4-0.0050
-0.04
γ5-0.2608
-2.59***
γ60.4284
4.80***
γ7-0.4263
-4.10***
γ80.3204
3.62***
γ9-0.1874
-2.83***
γ100.0343
0.83

Persistence:

0.891

Half-life:

6 days