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Dream Office Real Estate Investment Trust GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

26.44%

decreased by 1.12%

1 Week

26.74%

decreased by 0.82%

1 Month

27.89%

increased by 0.33%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dream Office Real Estate Investment Trust GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 1995 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 168% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decayLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 168% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0311
3.28***
αARCH0.0492
3.82***
βGARCH0.9095
87.02***
γleverage0.0827
2.73***

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0311
3.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0492
3.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9095
87.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0827
2.73***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-