V-Lab
Canadian Apartment Properties REIT GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
17.01%
increased by 0.40%
1 Week
17.25%
increased by 0.64%
1 Month
18.03%
increased by 1.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:01 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 21, 1998 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 113% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 113% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0451 | 4.19*** |
| αARCH | 0.0465 | 3.34*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9022 | 64.05*** |
| γleverage | 0.0527 | 1.98** |
0.975
Persistence27d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0451 | 4.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0465 | 3.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9022 | 64.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0527 | 1.98** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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