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Canadian Apartment Properties REIT GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

17.01%

increased by 0.40%

1 Week

17.25%

increased by 0.64%

1 Month

18.03%

increased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:01 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Canadian Apartment Properties REIT GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 21, 1998 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 113% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 113% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0451
4.19***
αARCH0.0465
3.34***
βGARCH0.9022
64.05***
γleverage0.0527
1.98**

0.975

Persistence

27d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0451
4.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0465
3.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9022
64.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0527
1.98**

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days