V-Lab
Storage King Group GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
26.44%
increased by 1.64%
1 Week
28.04%
increased by 3.24%
1 Month
28.69%
increased by 3.89%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 2023 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.8274 | 2.89*** |
| αARCH | 0.0254 | 0.88 |
| βGARCH | 0.2476 | 1.38 |
| γleverage | 0.3504 | 0.63 |
0.448
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.8274 | 2.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0254 | 0.88 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2476 | 1.38 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3504 | 0.63 |
Persistence:
0.448
Half-life:
1 days
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