V-Lab
Storage King Group MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
26.93%
increased by 4.02%
1 Week
28.18%
increased by 5.27%
1 Month
28.74%
increased by 5.83%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 2023 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 101 | |
| αARCH | 0.0594 | 1.59 |
| βGARCH | 0.1723 | 1.58 |
| γleverage | 0.5000 | 1.80* |
| λ₁tau intercept | 3.3173 | 0.22 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.482
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0594 | 1.59 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1723 | 1.58 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 1.80* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.3173 | 0.22 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.482
Half-life:
1 days
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