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V-Lab

SBA Communications Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

30.72%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

30.85%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

31.35%

increased by 0.47%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:56 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SBA Communications Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 16, 1999 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 380 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 256% more than positive returns

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~380 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 256% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow101
αARCH0.0226
3.59***
βGARCH0.9466
160.98***
γleverage0.0579
5.74***
λ₁tau intercept6.7611
0.18
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.4541
0.15

0.998

Persistence

380d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

101
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0226
3.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9466
160.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0579
5.74***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

6.7611
0.18
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4541
0.15

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

380 days