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Vicinity Centres MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

21.93%

increased by 2.44%

1 Week

21.95%

increased by 2.46%

1 Month

22.05%

increased by 2.56%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vicinity Centres MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2011 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow56
αARCH0.0388
2.66***
βGARCH0.9022
42.42***
γleverage0.0283
1.27
λ₁tau intercept0.0054
0.85
λ₂forecast adj.0.0096
2.07**
λ₃tau persistence0.9878
138.16***

0.955

Persistence

15d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0388
2.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9022
42.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0283
1.27
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0054
0.85
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0096
2.07**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9878
138.16***

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days