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FII Grand Plaza Shopping MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

19.83%

decreased by 0.77%

1 Week

23.62%

increased by 3.02%

1 Month

35.87%

increased by 15.27%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FII Grand Plaza Shopping MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 19, 2007 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.2576
4.24***
βGARCH0.5535
7.54***
γleverage0.1286
1.25
λ₁tau intercept0.6789
0.95
λ₂forecast adj.0.4148
1.50
λ₃tau persistence0.4980
1.51

0.875

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2576
4.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5535
7.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1286
1.25
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.6789
0.95
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4148
1.50
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4980
1.51

Persistence:

0.875

Half-life:

5 days