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Kimco Realty Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

15.51%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Week

15.94%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Month

17.51%

increased by 1.50%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:12 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kimco Realty Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 22, 1991 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 105% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 105% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.0568
2.14**
βGARCH0.8959
56.90***
γleverage0.0598
2.12**
λ₁tau intercept0.0382
0.70
λ₂forecast adj.0.0461
1.19
λ₃tau persistence0.9421
18.75***

0.983

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0568
2.14**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8959
56.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0598
2.12**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0382
0.70
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0461
1.19
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9421
18.75***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

39 days