V-Lab
Fonciere Inea S.A. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
9.96%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Week
10.84%
increased by 0.74%
1 Month
12.41%
increased by 2.31%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 7, 2006 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 263% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 263% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 36 | |
| αARCH | 0.0527 | 2.75*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7668 | 18.10*** |
| γleverage | 0.1387 | 3.90*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0182 | 1.41 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0506 | 1.59 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9342 | 22.36*** |
0.889
Persistence6d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0527 | 2.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7668 | 18.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1387 | 3.90*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0182 | 1.41 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0506 | 1.59 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9342 | 22.36*** |
Persistence:
0.889
Half-life:
6 days
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