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Fonciere Inea S.A. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

9.96%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Week

10.84%

increased by 0.74%

1 Month

12.41%

increased by 2.31%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fonciere Inea S.A. MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 7, 2006 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 263% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 263% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0527
2.75***
βGARCH0.7668
18.10***
γleverage0.1387
3.90***
λ₁tau intercept0.0182
1.41
λ₂forecast adj.0.0506
1.59
λ₃tau persistence0.9342
22.36***

0.889

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0527
2.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7668
18.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1387
3.90***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0182
1.41
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0506
1.59
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9342
22.36***

Persistence:

0.889

Half-life:

6 days