V-Lab
Rexford Industrial Realty Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
23.63%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Week
24.18%
increased by 0.31%
1 Month
25.80%
increased by 1.93%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 19, 2013 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 125% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 125% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 116 | |
| αARCH | 0.0380 | 2.47** |
| βGARCH | 0.8931 | 39.75*** |
| γleverage | 0.0474 | 2.36** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0009 | 0.27 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0062 | 2.10** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9938 | 249.38*** |
0.955
Persistence15d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0380 | 2.47** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8931 | 39.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0474 | 2.36** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0009 | 0.27 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0062 | 2.10** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9938 | 249.38*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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