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V-Lab

Host Hotels & Resorts Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

20.84%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

21.83%

increased by 0.60%

1 Month

24.74%

increased by 3.51%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Host Hotels & Resorts Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 205% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 205% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow71
αARCH0.0452
5.11***
βGARCH0.8712
58.74***
γleverage0.0925
3.55***
λ₁tau intercept0.0151
1.09
λ₂forecast adj.0.0134
1.70*
λ₃tau persistence0.9834
94.91***

0.963

Persistence

18d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0452
5.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8712
58.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0925
3.55***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0151
1.09
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0134
1.70*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9834
94.91***

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

18 days