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Host Hotels & Resorts Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

19.65%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

20.23%

increased by 0.03%

1 Month

22.22%

increased by 2.02%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Host Hotels & Resorts Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 51 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 51 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.78 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 51-day half-lifev = 5.78 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.9383
1.61
αARCH0.0766
9.16***
βGARCH0.9864
109.57***
νDF5.7777
2.21**

0.986

Persistence

51d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.9383
1.61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0766
9.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9864
109.57***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.7777
2.21**

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

51 days