V-Lab
Host Hotels & Resorts Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
20.75%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Week
21.45%
increased by 0.26%
1 Month
23.85%
increased by 2.66%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:48 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 189% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 189% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0817 | 4.35*** |
| αARCH | 0.0416 | 5.27*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9059 | 88.70*** |
| γleverage | 0.0788 | 2.96*** |
0.987
Persistence53d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0817 | 4.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0416 | 5.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9059 | 88.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0788 | 2.96*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
53 days
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