V-Lab
Rio Bravo Credito Imobiliario High Grade FII GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
27.15%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Week
26.93%
decreased by 0.66%
1 Month
26.12%
decreased by 1.47%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 42 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 42 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 42-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0239 | 2.69*** |
| αARCH | 0.1109 | 3.16*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8868 | 38.39*** |
| γleverage | -0.0282 | -0.50 |
0.984
Persistence42d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0239 | 2.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1109 | 3.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8868 | 38.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0282 | -0.50 |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
42 days
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