CBOE Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.1984	2.95***
αARCH	0.0705	1.37
βGARCH	0.5430	5.92***
γleverage	0.7399	2.03**

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.1984	2.95***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0705	1.37
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.5430	5.92***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.7399	2.03**

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Premier Fund Reit GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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