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RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

14.64%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

14.82%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Month

15.46%

increased by 0.43%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 5, 1994 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 87% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 87% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0190
5.03***
αARCH0.0526
5.52***
βGARCH0.9145
117.89***
γleverage0.0456
2.17**

0.990

Persistence

68d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0190
5.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0526
5.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9145
117.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0456
2.17**

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

68 days