V-Lab
RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
14.64%
decreased by 0.39%
1 Week
14.82%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Month
15.46%
increased by 0.43%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 5, 1994 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 87% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 87% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0190 | 5.03*** |
| αARCH | 0.0526 | 5.52*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9145 | 117.89*** |
| γleverage | 0.0456 | 2.17** |
0.990
Persistence68d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0190 | 5.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0526 | 5.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9145 | 117.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0456 | 2.17** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
68 days
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