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Navi Imobiliario Total Return FII GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

19.73%

decreased by 1.72%

1 Week

22.67%

increased by 1.22%

1 Month

27.77%

increased by 6.32%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Navi Imobiliario Total Return FII GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 26, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4476
4.77***
αARCH0.4614
3.40***
βGARCH0.5866
10.80***
γleverage-0.3175
-1.78*

0.889

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4476
4.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4614
3.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5866
10.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3175
-1.78*

Persistence:

0.889

Half-life:

6 days