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V-Lab

Public Storage GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

21.28%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Week

21.44%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

22.02%

increased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Public Storage GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 127% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 127% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0484
4.58***
αARCH0.0381
4.14***
βGARCH0.9186
95.17***
γleverage0.0486
1.98**

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0484
4.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0381
4.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9186
95.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0486
1.98**

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days