V-Lab
Public Storage GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
21.28%
decreased by 0.58%
1 Week
21.44%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Month
22.02%
increased by 0.16%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:14 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 127% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 127% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0484 | 4.58*** |
| αARCH | 0.0381 | 4.14*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9186 | 95.17*** |
| γleverage | 0.0486 | 1.98** |
0.981
Persistence36d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0484 | 4.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0381 | 4.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9186 | 95.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0486 | 1.98** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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