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V-Lab

UMH Properties Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

19.31%

decreased by 0.45%

1 Week

19.83%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

21.58%

increased by 1.82%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of UMH Properties Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 39-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0671
4.91***
αARCH0.0641
3.81***
βGARCH0.8981
78.38***
γleverage0.0403
1.21

0.982

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0671
4.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0641
3.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8981
78.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0403
1.21

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days