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UMH Properties Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

52,039.34%

decreased by 3,009.05%

1 Week

51,987.32%

decreased by 3,061.07%

1 Month

51,780.14%

decreased by 3,268.25%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of UMH Properties Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst7.8132
2.64***
αARCH0.1324
7.61***
βGARCH0.9990
1,816.36***
νDF2.0000
2,781.64***

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.8132
2.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1324
7.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
1,816.36***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0000
2,781.64***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days