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Granite Real Estate Investment Trust GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

22.37%

increased by 0.32%

1 Week

22.52%

increased by 0.47%

1 Month

22.98%

increased by 0.93%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:04 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Granite Real Estate Investment Trust GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 20, 2003 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.54 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 20-day half-lifev = 4.54 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.3806
1.63
αARCH0.1103
5.63***
βGARCH0.9656
50.46***
νDF4.5374
2.22**

0.966

Persistence

20d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3806
1.63
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1103
5.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9656
50.46***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.5374
2.22**

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days