Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

BTG Pactual Real Estate Hedge Fund FII - Responsabilidade Limitada GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

18.19%

increased by 2.70%

1 Week

18.26%

increased by 2.77%

1 Month

18.49%

increased by 3.00%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of BTG Pactual Real Estate Hedge Fund FII - Responsabilidade Limitada GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 17, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-lifev = 5.66 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5163
0.67
αARCH0.1275
2.64***
βGARCH0.9745
25.64***
νDF5.6625
0.73

0.975

Persistence

27d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5163
0.67
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1275
2.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9745
25.64***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.6625
0.73

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days