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STAG Industrial Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

18.91%

decreased by 0.93%

1 Week

19.31%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Month

20.52%

increased by 0.68%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of STAG Industrial Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2011 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.09 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 20-day half-lifev = 6.09 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.3157
2.61***
αARCH0.0778
5.29***
βGARCH0.9656
69.46***
νDF6.0929
1.23

0.966

Persistence

20d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3157
2.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0778
5.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9656
69.46***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.0929
1.23

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days