V-Lab
STAG Industrial Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
19.76%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
20.01%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Month
20.82%
increased by 0.64%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:16 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 2011 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0660 | 2.94*** |
| αARCH | 0.0109 | 1.08 |
| βGARCH | 0.9137 | 62.51*** |
| γleverage | 0.0922 | 2.65*** |
0.971
Persistence23d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0660 | 2.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0109 | 1.08 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9137 | 62.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0922 | 2.65*** |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
23 days
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