V-Lab
Suno Fundo de Funods de Investimento Imobiliario GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
14.88%
decreased by 0.74%
1 Week
16.07%
increased by 0.45%
1 Month
16.71%
increased by 1.09%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 7, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5002 | 3.35*** |
| αARCH | 0.2445 | 1.87* |
| βGARCH | 0.3816 | 2.58*** |
| γleverage | -0.1332 | -0.80 |
0.560
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5002 | 3.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2445 | 1.87* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3816 | 2.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1332 | -0.80 |
Persistence:
0.560
Half-life:
1 days
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