V-Lab
Suno Fundo de Funods de Investimento Imobiliario GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
14.82%
decreased by 1.11%
1 Week
16.34%
increased by 0.41%
1 Month
17.57%
increased by 1.64%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 7, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.55 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-lifev = 3.55 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2906 | 1.78* |
| αARCH | 0.1532 | 1.22 |
| βGARCH | 0.6961 | 4.38*** |
| νDF | 3.5509 | 0.78 |
0.696
Persistence2d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2906 | 1.78* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1532 | 1.22 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6961 | 4.38*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.5509 | 0.78 |
Persistence:
0.696
Half-life:
2 days
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