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V-Lab

Suno Fundo de Funods de Investimento Imobiliario GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

14.82%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Week

16.34%

increased by 0.41%

1 Month

17.57%

increased by 1.64%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Suno Fundo de Funods de Investimento Imobiliario GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 7, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.55 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-lifev = 3.55 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2906
1.78*
αARCH0.1532
1.22
βGARCH0.6961
4.38***
νDF3.5509
0.78

0.696

Persistence

2d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2906
1.78*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1532
1.22
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6961
4.38***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5509
0.78

Persistence:

0.696

Half-life:

2 days