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HGI Creditos Imobiliarios FII GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

741.83%

decreased by 102.44%

1 Week

737.93%

decreased by 106.34%

1 Month

722.73%

decreased by 121.54%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of HGI Creditos Imobiliarios FII GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 13, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst239.0049
2.44**
αARCH0.0891
17.83***
βGARCH0.9941
384.55***
νDF2.0020

0.994

Persistence

117d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

239.0049
2.44**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0891
17.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9941
384.55***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0020

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

117 days