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Plural Logistica Fii Classe Un GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

20.82%

decreased by 2.08%

1 Week

21.58%

decreased by 1.32%

1 Month

23.06%

increased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:14 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

07/24/2024

to

07/24/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Plural Logistica Fii Classe Un GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 17, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.22 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-lifev = 3.22 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.3557
3.86***
αARCH0.0978
5.23***
βGARCH0.8870
31.70***
νDF3.2243
3.70***

0.887

Persistence

6d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3557
3.86***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0978
5.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8870
31.70***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.2243
3.70***

Persistence:

0.887

Half-life:

6 days