V-Lab
Canuma Capital Multiestrateg GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
393.46%
increased by 59.25%
1 Week
389.74%
increased by 55.53%
1 Month
376.00%
increased by 41.79%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 28, 2022 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 232.4638 | 1.63 |
| αARCH | 0.1370 | 14.50*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9846 | 101.22*** |
| νDF | 2.0029 | 7,418.33*** |
0.985
Persistence45d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 232.4638 | 1.63 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1370 | 14.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9846 | 101.22*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0029 | 7,418.33*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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