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Canuma Capital Multiestrateg GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

393.46%

increased by 59.25%

1 Week

389.74%

increased by 55.53%

1 Month

376.00%

increased by 41.79%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Canuma Capital Multiestrateg GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 28, 2022 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst232.4638
1.63
αARCH0.1370
14.50***
βGARCH0.9846
101.22***
νDF2.0029
7,418.33***

0.985

Persistence

45d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

232.4638
1.63
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1370
14.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9846
101.22***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0029
7,418.33***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days