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V-Lab

Storage King Group GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

27.12%

increased by 2.17%

1 Week

27.21%

increased by 2.26%

1 Month

27.55%

increased by 2.60%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Storage King Group GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2023 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 412 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.54 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~412 daysv = 3.54 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst8.5199
2.26**
αARCH0.0378
6.12***
βGARCH0.9983
696.18***
νDF3.5411
5.86***

0.998

Persistence

412d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.5199
2.26**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0378
6.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9983
696.18***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5411
5.86***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

412 days